AR-02
Arkansas’s 2nd District
Chance of winning
Chris Jones
13%
Democrat · Model range 10–16%
French Hill
87%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 84–90%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Hill +5.7
Poll average
Jones +0.6
3 polls · latest Oct 14
Cook Political Report
Likely R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Likely R