House

AZ-01

Arizona’s 1st District

House · Republican-held · Open seat

Chance of winning

Amish Shah
91%
Democrat · Model range 88–93%
Jay Feely
9%
Republican · Model range 7–12%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Shah +6.0
Poll average
Shah +6.0
3 polls · latest Oct 28
Cook Political Report
Lean D
Inside Elections
Tilt D
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean D

More in Arizona