House

AZ-01

Arizona’s 1st District

House · Republican-held · Open seat

Chance of winning

Amish Shah
81%
Democrat · Model range 77–84%
Jay Feely
19%
Republican · Model range 16–23%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Shah +5.0
Cook Political Report
Lean D
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up

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