House

MN-01

Minnesota’s 1st District

House · Republican-held

Chance of winning

Jake Johnson
40%
Democrat · Model range 35–45%
Brad Finstad
60%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 55–65%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Finstad +1.3
Poll average
Johnson +1.0
5 polls · latest Oct 14
Cook Political Report
Lean R
Inside Elections
Lean R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean R

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