MN-01
Minnesota’s 1st District
Chance of winning
Jake Johnson
21%
Democrat · Model range 17–26%
Brad Finstad
79%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 74–83%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Finstad +4.2
Poll average
Finstad +3.6
2 polls · latest Mar 14
Cook Political Report
Likely R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Likely R
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