MO-02
Missouri’s 2nd District
Chance of winning
Fred Wellman
38%
Democrat · Model range 34–44%
Ann Wagner
62%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 56–66%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Wagner +1.5
Poll average
Wellman +3.8
3 polls · latest Oct 20
Cook Political Report
Likely R
Inside Elections
Solid R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up