MT-01
Montana’s 1st District
Chance of winning
Sam Forstag
66%
Democrat · Model range 61–71%
Aaron Flint
34%
Republican · Model range 29–39%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Forstag +1.9
Poll average
Forstag +4.9
10 polls · latest Oct 23
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up