MT-01
Montana’s 1st District
Chance of winning
Sam Forstag
29%
Democrat · Model range 24–34%
Aaron Flint
71%
Republican · Model range 66–76%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Flint +2.8
Poll average
Forstag +0.3
4 polls · latest Sep 10
Cook Political Report
Lean R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Likely R