NY-17
New York’s 17th District
Chance of winning
Cait Conley
75%
Democrat · Model range 70–79%
Mike Lawler
25%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 21–30%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Conley +3.2
Poll average
Conley +3.4
5 polls · latest Oct 23
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up
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