WA-05
Washington’s 5th District
Chance of winning
Carmela Conroy
6%
Democrat · Model range 5–9%
Michael Baumgartner
94%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 91–95%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Baumgartner +7.3
Poll average
Baumgartner +4.6
1 poll · latest May 25
Cook Political Report
Likely R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Likely R
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