Nevada
Chance of winning
Aaron Ford
39%
Democrat · Model range 35–44%
Joe Lombardo
61%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 56–65%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Lombardo +1.2
Poll average
Lombardo +1.1
15 polls · latest Oct 28
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up