Nevada
Chance of winning
Aaron Ford
47%
Democrat · Model range 41–51%
Joe Lombardo
53%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 49–59%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Lombardo +0.4
Poll average
Ford +0.8
11 polls · latest Sep 8
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Tilt R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up