Governors

Forecast updated November 2

Chance of a majority of governorships

Democrats
82%
Model range 77–87%
Tied 25–25
10%
Republicans
7%
Model range 5–10%
Median
27
Democratic governors
80% range
25–29
Democratic governors
Majority
26
for a majority
Now
24 D · 26 R

All 36 governor races

Likely D4
WisconsinCrowley (D) vs. Tiffany (R)D 92%OregonKotek (D) vs. Drazan (R)D 89%AlaskaKreiss-Tomkins (D) vs. Wilson (R)D 88%OhioActon (D) vs. Ramaswamy (R)D 88%
Toss-up1
GeorgiaBottoms (D) vs. Jackson (R)D 58%
Lean R2
NevadaFord (D) vs. Lombardo (R)R 61%KansasHolscher (D) vs. Masterson (R)R 77%
Likely R2
TexasHinojosa (D) vs. Abbott (R)R 87%FloridaJolly (D) vs. Donalds (R)R 94%
Solid D16

California · Pennsylvania · Massachusetts · Maryland · Connecticut · Illinois · Minnesota · Rhode Island · Maine · Hawaii · New York · Michigan · Arizona · Colorado · New Mexico · Iowa

Solid R11

Vermont · Nebraska · New Hampshire · Alabama · Oklahoma · South Carolina · Arkansas · Wyoming · Tennessee · Idaho · South Dakota