New Mexico
Chance of winning
Deb Haaland
99%
Democrat · Model range 98–99%
Gregg Hull
1%
Republican · Model range 1–2%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Haaland +10.3
Poll average
Haaland +7.7
5 polls · latest Oct 9
Cook Political Report
Solid D
Inside Elections
Likely D
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Solid D