Wisconsin
Chance of winning
David Crowley
82%
Democrat · Model range 78–84%
Tom Tiffany
18%
Republican · Model range 16–22%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Crowley +4.7
Poll average
Crowley +5.2
6 polls · latest Aug 20
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean D