Senate

Iowa

Senate · Republican-held · Open seat

Chance of winning

Josh Turek
54%
Democrat · Model range 49–59%
Ashley Hinson
46%
Republican · Model range 41–51%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Turek +0.4
Poll average
Turek +0.3
38 polls · latest Nov 1
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up

More in Iowa

Iowa GovernorSand (D) vs. Lahn (R)D 97%IA-01Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)D 95%IA-02James (D) vs. Mitchell (R)D 74%IA-03Garriott (D) vs. Nunn (R)D 93%IA-04Dawson (D) vs. McGowan (R)R >99%All Senate races