AK-AL
Alaska’s At-Large District
Chance of winning
Bill Hill
22%
Independent · Model range 18–25%
Nick Begich III
78%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 75–82%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Begich +4.0
Poll average
Begich +3.5
14 polls · latest Oct 30
Cook Political Report
Lean R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean R