House

AK-AL

Alaska’s At-Large District

House · Republican-held · Top-four primary, ranked-choice general

Chance of winning

Bill Hill
19%
Independent · Model range 15–22%
Nick Begich III
81%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 78–85%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Begich +4.8
Poll average
Begich +8.8
7 polls · latest Sep 11
Cook Political Report
Likely R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Likely R

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