House

AK-AL

Alaska’s At-Large District

House · Republican-held · Top-four primary, ranked-choice general

Chance of winning

Bill Hill
22%
Independent · Model range 18–25%
Nick Begich III
78%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 75–82%

Forecast

Forecast margin
Begich +4.0
Poll average
Begich +3.5
14 polls · latest Oct 30
Cook Political Report
Lean R
Inside Elections
Likely R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean R

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