Alaska
Chance of winning
Mary Peltola
59%
Democrat · Model range 54–63%
Dan S. Sullivan
41%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 37–46%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Peltola +1.0
Poll average
Peltola +3.9
16 polls · latest Sep 17
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Tilt R
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Toss-up