Alaska
Chance of winning
Mary Peltola
57%
Democrat · Model range 53–62%
Dan S. Sullivan
43%
Republican · Incumbent · Model range 38–47%
Forecast
Forecast margin
Peltola +0.8
Poll average
Peltola +1.9
24 polls · latest Oct 30
Cook Political Report
Toss-up
Inside Elections
Toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Lean D